Uncertainty Deconstructed
portes grátis
Uncertainty Deconstructed
A Guidebook for Decision Support Practitioners
Garvey, Bruce; Humzah, Dowshan; Le Roux, Storm
Springer International Publishing AG
08/2022
304
Dura
Inglês
9783031080067
15 a 20 dias
658
Descrição não disponível.
Part I: Introducing the Programme and its Contents.- 1. Setting the Scene and Introduction.- Part II: Theoretical Underpinnings: Structural Components Of Uncertainty.- 2. Locating Uncertainty along the Risk Spectrum.- 3. Problem Status.- 4. Time-Based Criteria.- 5. The Evidence Base.- 6. Ways of Seeing the Future. Part III: Theoretical Underpinnings: Scenarios and their Role in Dealing With Uncertainty.- 7. Scenarios - What Are They, Why Are They Useful and How Can We Best Use Them?.- 8. Scenario Derivatives First, Second and Third Order Scenarios: Generic (Landscape) Variables.- Part IV: Theoretical Underpinnings: Behaviour - The Hidden Influencer In How We Deal With Uncertainty.- 9. Behavioural Factors: Cognitive Biases and Dissonance, Anomie, and Alienation (Or How We Humans Mess Things Up).- 10. How to Mitigate the Impact of the Behavioural Minefield.- Part V: Theory into Practice - Reactive and Exploatory Scenarios and Case Studies.- 11. Reactive - the Covid-19 Pandemic.- 12. An Exploratory Scenario Case Study - Social Mobility and Inequality.- 13. Achieving Net Zero - The Small Island Developing States (SIDs) Initiative: An Exploratory Investment Decision Support Framework to Help Address Uncertainty.- 14. Concluding Comments.
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Risk and Uncertainty;Reactive Scenarios;Explorative Scenarios;Behavioural Factors;Strategic Foresight;Process Toolkit
Part I: Introducing the Programme and its Contents.- 1. Setting the Scene and Introduction.- Part II: Theoretical Underpinnings: Structural Components Of Uncertainty.- 2. Locating Uncertainty along the Risk Spectrum.- 3. Problem Status.- 4. Time-Based Criteria.- 5. The Evidence Base.- 6. Ways of Seeing the Future. Part III: Theoretical Underpinnings: Scenarios and their Role in Dealing With Uncertainty.- 7. Scenarios - What Are They, Why Are They Useful and How Can We Best Use Them?.- 8. Scenario Derivatives First, Second and Third Order Scenarios: Generic (Landscape) Variables.- Part IV: Theoretical Underpinnings: Behaviour - The Hidden Influencer In How We Deal With Uncertainty.- 9. Behavioural Factors: Cognitive Biases and Dissonance, Anomie, and Alienation (Or How We Humans Mess Things Up).- 10. How to Mitigate the Impact of the Behavioural Minefield.- Part V: Theory into Practice - Reactive and Exploatory Scenarios and Case Studies.- 11. Reactive - the Covid-19 Pandemic.- 12. An Exploratory Scenario Case Study - Social Mobility and Inequality.- 13. Achieving Net Zero - The Small Island Developing States (SIDs) Initiative: An Exploratory Investment Decision Support Framework to Help Address Uncertainty.- 14. Concluding Comments.
Este título pertence ao(s) assunto(s) indicados(s). Para ver outros títulos clique no assunto desejado.
