Navigating Uncertainty Using Foresight Intelligence

Generating Cyber Intelligence (CYBINT) scenarios & solutions to address uncertainty for decision-advantage: Using Intelligence Engineering & Strategic Options Analysis.- A Macro Cyber Scenario Case Study using Intelligence Engineering & Strategic Options Analysis Methods.- Examining the Landscape of Unauthorised Cyber Access (with reference to POSTnote #684).- Intelligence Engineering-led set-up of generic Strategic Options Analysis Problem to Solution Spaces: Cyber example demonstration.- More than Semantics? Communication of (Un)certainty via 'Estimative/Probabilistic Language'.- Estimative/Probabilistic Language - Part II: Expanding the Range of Scenario Options.- Scoping 'Digital Twins' in intelligence & strategic foresight projects.- Generative-AI Pilot for Problem Spaces: Can ChatGPT help develop Scenarios?.- An Outline for an Interrogative/Prompt Library to help improve output quality from Generative-AI Datasets.- Prompt-engineering testing ChatGPT4 & Bard for assessing Generative-AI efficacy to support decision-making.- Can Generative-AI (ChatGPT and Bard) Be Used as Red Team Avatars in Developing Foresight Scenarios?.- Realising Foresight Intelligence (FORINT) - Advancing an Intelligence-derived Foresight Framework.- The Role of the Scenario and its Reassessment.- Advancing a New Methodological Process.- Process implications - Current software enhancements, including increasing levels of AI.

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• Matemática e sistemas do negócio
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Uncertainty;Decision making;Foresight;Intelligence analysis;Risk mitigation;Cyber;Generative AI (Gen-AI);Strategic Options Analysis;Assessment, Synthesis and Estimation