How Worlds Collapse
portes grátis
How Worlds Collapse
What History, Systems, and Complexity Can Teach Us About Our Modern World and Fragile Future
Centeno, Miguel; Callahan, Peter; Patterson, Thayer; Larcey, Paul
Taylor & Francis Ltd
03/2023
426
Mole
Inglês
9781032363219
15 a 20 dias
Descrição não disponível.
Introduction
Section 1: Theory and Insights of Historical Collapse
1. Globalization and Fragility: A Systems Approach to Collapse
Miguel A. Centeno, Peter W. Callahan, Paul A. Larcey, and Thayer S. Patterson
2. How Scholars Explain Collapse
Joseph A. Tainter
3. Diminishing Returns on Extraction: How Inequality and Extractive Hierarchy Create Fragility
Luke Kemp
4. Collapse, Recovery, and Existential Risk
Haydn Belfield
Section 2: Historical and Archaeological Investigations of Collapse
5. "Mind the Gap": The 1177 BCE Late Bronze Age Collapse and Some Preliminary Thoughts on Its Immediate Aftermath
Eric H. Cline
6. The End of "Peak Empire": The Collapse of the Roman, Han, and Jin Empires
Walter Scheidel
7. Collapse and Non-collapse: The Case of Byzantium ca. 650-800 CE
John Haldon
8. Fluctuat Nec Mergitur: Seven Centuries of Pueblo Crisis and Resilience
Timothy A. Kohler, R. Kyle Bocinsky, and Darcy Bird
9. Episodes of the Feathered Serpent: Aztec Imperialism and Collapse
Deborah L. Nichols and Ryan H. Collins
10. The Black Death: Collapse, Resilience, and Transformation
Samuel K. Cohn, Jr
11. The Cases of Novgorod and Muscovy: Using Systems Thinking to Understand Historical Civilizational Response to Exogenous Threats
Miriam Pollock, Benjamin D. Trump, and Igor Linkov
12. Resilience of the Simple? Lessons from the Blockade of Leningrad
Jeffrey K. Hass
Section 3: Systemic Collapse Insights from Ecology, Climate, and the Environment
13. Climate Change and Tipping Points in Historical Collapse
Timothy M. Lenton
14. Conservation of Fragility and the Collapse of Social Orders
John M. Anderies and Simon A. Levin
15. Resilience and Collapse in Bee Societies and Communities
Christina M. Grozinger and Harland M. Patch
Section 4: Future Systemic Collapse and Quantitative Modeling
16. Producing Collapse: Nuclear Weapons as Preparation to End Civilization
Zia Mian and Benoit Pelopidas
17. From Wild West to Mad Max: Transition in Civilizations
Richard Bookstaber
18. Phase Transitions and the Theory of Early Warning Indicators for Critical Transitions
George I. Hagstrom and Simon A. Levin
19. The Lifespan of Civilizations: Do Societies "Age," or Is Collapse Just Bad Luck?
Anders Sandberg
20. Multipath Forecasting: The Aftermath of the 2020 American Crisis
Peter Turchin
Section 1: Theory and Insights of Historical Collapse
1. Globalization and Fragility: A Systems Approach to Collapse
Miguel A. Centeno, Peter W. Callahan, Paul A. Larcey, and Thayer S. Patterson
2. How Scholars Explain Collapse
Joseph A. Tainter
3. Diminishing Returns on Extraction: How Inequality and Extractive Hierarchy Create Fragility
Luke Kemp
4. Collapse, Recovery, and Existential Risk
Haydn Belfield
Section 2: Historical and Archaeological Investigations of Collapse
5. "Mind the Gap": The 1177 BCE Late Bronze Age Collapse and Some Preliminary Thoughts on Its Immediate Aftermath
Eric H. Cline
6. The End of "Peak Empire": The Collapse of the Roman, Han, and Jin Empires
Walter Scheidel
7. Collapse and Non-collapse: The Case of Byzantium ca. 650-800 CE
John Haldon
8. Fluctuat Nec Mergitur: Seven Centuries of Pueblo Crisis and Resilience
Timothy A. Kohler, R. Kyle Bocinsky, and Darcy Bird
9. Episodes of the Feathered Serpent: Aztec Imperialism and Collapse
Deborah L. Nichols and Ryan H. Collins
10. The Black Death: Collapse, Resilience, and Transformation
Samuel K. Cohn, Jr
11. The Cases of Novgorod and Muscovy: Using Systems Thinking to Understand Historical Civilizational Response to Exogenous Threats
Miriam Pollock, Benjamin D. Trump, and Igor Linkov
12. Resilience of the Simple? Lessons from the Blockade of Leningrad
Jeffrey K. Hass
Section 3: Systemic Collapse Insights from Ecology, Climate, and the Environment
13. Climate Change and Tipping Points in Historical Collapse
Timothy M. Lenton
14. Conservation of Fragility and the Collapse of Social Orders
John M. Anderies and Simon A. Levin
15. Resilience and Collapse in Bee Societies and Communities
Christina M. Grozinger and Harland M. Patch
Section 4: Future Systemic Collapse and Quantitative Modeling
16. Producing Collapse: Nuclear Weapons as Preparation to End Civilization
Zia Mian and Benoit Pelopidas
17. From Wild West to Mad Max: Transition in Civilizations
Richard Bookstaber
18. Phase Transitions and the Theory of Early Warning Indicators for Critical Transitions
George I. Hagstrom and Simon A. Levin
19. The Lifespan of Civilizations: Do Societies "Age," or Is Collapse Just Bad Luck?
Anders Sandberg
20. Multipath Forecasting: The Aftermath of the 2020 American Crisis
Peter Turchin
Este título pertence ao(s) assunto(s) indicados(s). Para ver outros títulos clique no assunto desejado.
Random Field Ising Model;Historical Collapse;Peak Empire;Continuous Phase Transitions;Data Sets;Great Famines;Global Systemic Risk;Collapse Studies;Late Bronze Age;Eastern Roman Empires;Kievan Rus;Honey Bees;Predictable Climate;Existential Risk;Contemporary Societies;Western Roman Empire;Spinodal Instability;BCE;Spinodal Point;Honey Bee Colonies;Diminishing Returns;Ivan III;Saddle Node Bifurcations;Ramses III;Early Warning Indicators
Introduction
Section 1: Theory and Insights of Historical Collapse
1. Globalization and Fragility: A Systems Approach to Collapse
Miguel A. Centeno, Peter W. Callahan, Paul A. Larcey, and Thayer S. Patterson
2. How Scholars Explain Collapse
Joseph A. Tainter
3. Diminishing Returns on Extraction: How Inequality and Extractive Hierarchy Create Fragility
Luke Kemp
4. Collapse, Recovery, and Existential Risk
Haydn Belfield
Section 2: Historical and Archaeological Investigations of Collapse
5. "Mind the Gap": The 1177 BCE Late Bronze Age Collapse and Some Preliminary Thoughts on Its Immediate Aftermath
Eric H. Cline
6. The End of "Peak Empire": The Collapse of the Roman, Han, and Jin Empires
Walter Scheidel
7. Collapse and Non-collapse: The Case of Byzantium ca. 650-800 CE
John Haldon
8. Fluctuat Nec Mergitur: Seven Centuries of Pueblo Crisis and Resilience
Timothy A. Kohler, R. Kyle Bocinsky, and Darcy Bird
9. Episodes of the Feathered Serpent: Aztec Imperialism and Collapse
Deborah L. Nichols and Ryan H. Collins
10. The Black Death: Collapse, Resilience, and Transformation
Samuel K. Cohn, Jr
11. The Cases of Novgorod and Muscovy: Using Systems Thinking to Understand Historical Civilizational Response to Exogenous Threats
Miriam Pollock, Benjamin D. Trump, and Igor Linkov
12. Resilience of the Simple? Lessons from the Blockade of Leningrad
Jeffrey K. Hass
Section 3: Systemic Collapse Insights from Ecology, Climate, and the Environment
13. Climate Change and Tipping Points in Historical Collapse
Timothy M. Lenton
14. Conservation of Fragility and the Collapse of Social Orders
John M. Anderies and Simon A. Levin
15. Resilience and Collapse in Bee Societies and Communities
Christina M. Grozinger and Harland M. Patch
Section 4: Future Systemic Collapse and Quantitative Modeling
16. Producing Collapse: Nuclear Weapons as Preparation to End Civilization
Zia Mian and Benoit Pelopidas
17. From Wild West to Mad Max: Transition in Civilizations
Richard Bookstaber
18. Phase Transitions and the Theory of Early Warning Indicators for Critical Transitions
George I. Hagstrom and Simon A. Levin
19. The Lifespan of Civilizations: Do Societies "Age," or Is Collapse Just Bad Luck?
Anders Sandberg
20. Multipath Forecasting: The Aftermath of the 2020 American Crisis
Peter Turchin
Section 1: Theory and Insights of Historical Collapse
1. Globalization and Fragility: A Systems Approach to Collapse
Miguel A. Centeno, Peter W. Callahan, Paul A. Larcey, and Thayer S. Patterson
2. How Scholars Explain Collapse
Joseph A. Tainter
3. Diminishing Returns on Extraction: How Inequality and Extractive Hierarchy Create Fragility
Luke Kemp
4. Collapse, Recovery, and Existential Risk
Haydn Belfield
Section 2: Historical and Archaeological Investigations of Collapse
5. "Mind the Gap": The 1177 BCE Late Bronze Age Collapse and Some Preliminary Thoughts on Its Immediate Aftermath
Eric H. Cline
6. The End of "Peak Empire": The Collapse of the Roman, Han, and Jin Empires
Walter Scheidel
7. Collapse and Non-collapse: The Case of Byzantium ca. 650-800 CE
John Haldon
8. Fluctuat Nec Mergitur: Seven Centuries of Pueblo Crisis and Resilience
Timothy A. Kohler, R. Kyle Bocinsky, and Darcy Bird
9. Episodes of the Feathered Serpent: Aztec Imperialism and Collapse
Deborah L. Nichols and Ryan H. Collins
10. The Black Death: Collapse, Resilience, and Transformation
Samuel K. Cohn, Jr
11. The Cases of Novgorod and Muscovy: Using Systems Thinking to Understand Historical Civilizational Response to Exogenous Threats
Miriam Pollock, Benjamin D. Trump, and Igor Linkov
12. Resilience of the Simple? Lessons from the Blockade of Leningrad
Jeffrey K. Hass
Section 3: Systemic Collapse Insights from Ecology, Climate, and the Environment
13. Climate Change and Tipping Points in Historical Collapse
Timothy M. Lenton
14. Conservation of Fragility and the Collapse of Social Orders
John M. Anderies and Simon A. Levin
15. Resilience and Collapse in Bee Societies and Communities
Christina M. Grozinger and Harland M. Patch
Section 4: Future Systemic Collapse and Quantitative Modeling
16. Producing Collapse: Nuclear Weapons as Preparation to End Civilization
Zia Mian and Benoit Pelopidas
17. From Wild West to Mad Max: Transition in Civilizations
Richard Bookstaber
18. Phase Transitions and the Theory of Early Warning Indicators for Critical Transitions
George I. Hagstrom and Simon A. Levin
19. The Lifespan of Civilizations: Do Societies "Age," or Is Collapse Just Bad Luck?
Anders Sandberg
20. Multipath Forecasting: The Aftermath of the 2020 American Crisis
Peter Turchin
Este título pertence ao(s) assunto(s) indicados(s). Para ver outros títulos clique no assunto desejado.
Random Field Ising Model;Historical Collapse;Peak Empire;Continuous Phase Transitions;Data Sets;Great Famines;Global Systemic Risk;Collapse Studies;Late Bronze Age;Eastern Roman Empires;Kievan Rus;Honey Bees;Predictable Climate;Existential Risk;Contemporary Societies;Western Roman Empire;Spinodal Instability;BCE;Spinodal Point;Honey Bee Colonies;Diminishing Returns;Ivan III;Saddle Node Bifurcations;Ramses III;Early Warning Indicators
