Plea for Plausibility

Acknowledgments



Introduction
A plausibility primer
Credence for conclusions
Plausibility and decision theory
Theory choice and theory diagnosis in science
Reasoning about risk
Coping with moral uncertainty
Plausible inference in legal contest
When Econs are human
In search of philosophical method
Epilogue: Behind and beyond

Index

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• Probabilidade e Estatística
• Estratégia de negócios
• Epistemologia e teoria do conhecimento: Filosofia
• Ética e filosofia moral
• Jurisprudência e filosofia do direito
• Teoria e filosofia económica
• Filosofia da Ciência

John R. Welch;plausibility;uncertainty;decision theory;comparative decision theory;probability;credence;risk assessment;moral cognitivism;Bayesian decision making;philosophical methodology;argumentation theory;action theory;risk management;Plausibilistic Expectation;Jeffrey's Rule;Plausibility Relation;Plausibility Measure;Vice Versa;Probabilistic Risk Assessment;Bayesian Decision Theory;Deductive Soundness;Violates;Knightian Uncertainty;Imprecise Probabilities;Severe Uncertainty;Descriptive Decision Theory;Information Poverty;Normative Decision Theory;Probabilistic Coherence;Bear Truth Values;Standard Forms;Probability Calculus;Cognitive Choice;Epistemic Probability;DNA Match;Expectation Domain